AGE Daily Gold Update presents a recap on today's action in the precious metals markets. View archives.
8/13/2025: Gold rises on dovish rate view
Source: Bill Musgrave, American Gold Exchange
Austin — New York spot gold gained 0.3% to finish near $3,359 as Treasury yields and the dollar fell on growing confidence that the Fed will substantially reduce interest rates this year. Silver rose 1.6% to finish at $38.50 an ounce.
Yesterday's mild CPI print showed the annual inflation rate was unchanged at 2.7% in July despite higher tariffs. In addition, last week's nonfarm payrolls report showed the economy adding just 73,000 jobs last month, while the totals for June and May were revised downward by a whopping 258,000.
The combination of low inflation and a weakening labor market virtually guarantees that the Fed will cut rates by at least 25 basis points in September. It also ups the odds of additional easing later in the year. The likelihood of 75 basis points in cuts by December is now 57%, according to CME FedWatch, up from less than 50% a week ago
Benchmark 10-year Treasury yields receded under 4.3% on the rate view, boosting gold by decreasing the opportunity cost for holding it instead of bonds for safety.
Tracking lower with yields, the dollar fell 0.3%, supporting gold and other commodities by making them less expensive in other currencies.
Platinum dipped 0.4% while palladium rose 0.5%.
At the New York spot close: gold gained $9.80 to $3,358.70; silver added 60 cents, to $38.50; platinum slipped $5.60 to $1,336.95; and palladium picked up $5.10 to $1,136.45 an ounce.
Metal | Ask | Change | |
---|---|---|---|
Gold | $3,394.08 | ![]() |
$21.53 |
Silver | $38.80 | ![]() |
$0.08 |
Platinum | $1,359.71 | ![]() |
$3.99 |
Palladium | $1,116.50 | ![]() |
$-2.02 |
AGE Gold Commentary
This update shows how gold has surged after every Fed rate cut since 2007, why coming rate cuts could drive it higher, and why silver's upside looks even stronger. ... read more