The yield on the U.S. 10-year Treasury note fell to 4.74%, extending a modest decline from the previous session, after rising to 4.81% earlier in the week, its highest level since October 2023. Comments from Federal Reserve Governor Waller that “if there is continued progress toward our 2% goal, then I am willing to support holding the policy rate at its current level”, supported Treasuries prices. Markets are currently pricing roughly a 50% probability of a Fed rate hike this month, down from around 70% earlier in the week.
In U.S. economic data today, the ISM Services PMI rose to 55.4 in August 2026 from 54.1 in July, beating forecasts of 54.3. The reading pointed to the strongest gain in the services sector in six months, with business activity (61.7 vs 59.1), new orders (60.9 vs 57.2), inventories (56.7 vs 51.4) all rising at a faster pace. Meantime, U.S. employment contracted for a second month (47.8 vs 47.4) and price pressures intensified to a four-year high (72.6 vs 70.3), with petroleum-related products, diesel, and gasoline reported as up in price in August.
Weekly jobless claims inched up by 2,000, to 206,000, in the fourth week of August, loosely aligned with market expectations of 205,000 to hold the trend of low claim counts since dropping to the near 60-year low of 189,000 in the middle of July. Continuing claims, a gauge of outstanding unemployment in the U.S., rose by 8,000 to 1,779,000 in the earlier period.
Dutch central bank moves gold out of U.S. The central bank of the Netherlands has moved more than 78 tons of gold from New York to London, the Financial Times reports. The central bank cited “increasing geopolitical unrest.” The FT said the transfer follows calls from European politicians and taxpayer lobbyists to repatriate gold reserves from the U.S. due to fears the U.S. government under President Trump may otherwise seize them amid rising transatlantic tensions. The move comes after France removed all its gold from the New York Federal Reserve between July 2025 and January 2026, the report noted.
Technically, December gold futures bulls’ next upside price objective is to produce a close above solid resistance at the August high of $4,755.00. Bears' next near-term downside price objective is pushing futures prices below solid technical support at this week’s low of $4,329.20. First resistance is seen at $4,550.00 and then at $4,600.00. First support is seen at the overnight low of $4,426.70 and then at $4,400.00. Wyckoff's Market Rating: 5.0
December silver futures bulls see their next upside price objective is closing prices above solid technical resistance at the August high of 72.05. The next downside price objective for the bears is closing prices below solid support at $60.00. First resistance is seen at this week’s high of $68.18 and then at $70.00. Next support is seen at $65.00 and then at this week’s low of $63.88. Wyckoff's Market Rating: 5.0
